Monday, August 27, 2018

Reflection on Restless Giant: The United States from Watergate to Bush v. Gore by James T. Patterson


               I picked this book up to take a break from a very long book about the Holocaust that I’m reading that has been difficult to get through. This book sort of picks up where the last one I finished, Stayin’ Alive: The 1970’s and the Last Days of the Working Class, left off, though it’s not as good as the latter, which was 11/10 amazing. This book covers political, economic, and social issues and is part of the Oxford History of the United States collection, which I can officially vouch for since about a year ago I read the Glorious Cause, the part of the series that addresses the Revolutionary War. Very informative, undergraduate level books that give you a good sense of the times.
               There is some overlap with Stayin’ Alive early on, discussing the economic state of the country, which faced a “Great Recession” from 1973-1975, a term I used to think had only ever been applied to our recession in 2008. This book further drives home the point that busing was a critical political issue across the nation, as whites did not want to bear the costs of integration. They also just didn’t want to integrate. It’s amazing to see the development of the private schools as white parents pulled their kids out of integrated public schools all across the nation and sent them to whiter, private schools. In Boston, for example, in 2003, minorities were 86 percent of public school students. It reminds me of another form of racialized secession, like in the Civil War. It is toxic that segregation continues and it seems like stronger forces are needed to integrate, but to do so in a much more friendly and reasonable way.
               The book also discusses the parallel revolutions that occurred. First, the sexual revolution in the late 1960’s freed women and men to have premarital sex with more partners, especially as birth control became more common. However, a counter-revolution occurred, reaching its peak in the 1990’s of politicized Christianity, “The Moral Majority.” People got divorced more and had more children out of wedlock.
               At the same time, money was being funneled into politics like never before. The average cost of winning a seat in the Senate in 1976 was just $600,000 but by 1990 it was $4 million and I assume much higher today. What was the trigger for this? Libertarians often argue that there’s so much money in politics because government is so big that it is worthwhile for corporations to buy it out but I wonder if there were similar increases during massive increases in federal government spending during World War One, the New Deal, or the Great Society. I would think they’re wrong because the period 1976-1990 is marked by a dramatic reduction of taxes, federal employees, and the size of government. I bet it has to do with campaign finance law, specifically the laws passed in 1974 that I can’t remember the name of (Buckley-Valeo?).
               In the last book I read, I came away with the impression that Nixon was the basis of modern Republican campaigning strategy. Likewise, it seems like Gerald Ford was the basis of Republican high-level staffing from 1974-2009. He hired guys like Cheney, Bush, Rumsfeld, and Powell in his administration and those guys would go on to do very big things in the Republican party. The continuities in the Republican party are very consistent. For example, Republicans, at least since Nixon, love the strong man. When Khmer Rouge soldiers kidnapped the American crew of the ship Mayaguez, President Ford sent a rescue team after them and it was a huge failure. They lost more men than had originally kidnapped and didn’t even rescue the hostages. Ford eventually got them back by negotiating, but despite the failure, or maybe because of it, Ford had a huge surge in popularity, people admiring his show of steel. Maybe it’s all Americans, and not just Republicans.
               Despite praising FDR in his inaugural address, Reagan was no FDR. He would cut income taxes multiple times, doing the bulk of the work in getting the top bracket’s rate from 70% in 1981 down to 35% by 2004. Reagan also maintained Nixon’s electoral victories all across the country, winning the business owners in the East, White identity-politics voters (what’s this code for?) in the South, and small-government types in the West who wanted more land in private rather than federal hands. Despite lowering taxes, Reagan ran up deficits by spending $2 trillion during his eight years on the military, and though a smaller percentage of the budget than during the Eisenhower-Kennedy years, “Defense” was taking up 25% of the federal budget. What made Reagan such a special Cold Warrior was that he believed the Cold war could be won. I had thought this was a standard opinion but the author points out that most experts, including CIA officials, failed to predict the demise of the Soviet Union, and many were fine with a perpetual state of Cold War. All Reagan had to do was conceive of an end and will it.
               The culture war of the 1960’s continued to be fought through the 1980’s and 1990’s through issues like abortion, AIDS, gay marriage and service in the military, music censorship, teaching evolution in schools, black power, sexual freedom, and drug use. By the time we look at the 1990’s it feels like its become the preeminent issue in domestic policy, and today the “culture war” affects foreign policy through support of Palestine or Israel, admission of Muslim refugees, and the debates on immigration. If The 1960’s set the “war” in motion, then by the 1990’s it was the strongest force in politics, really only growing stronger as I reflect on the politics of my own life until today, in 2018. It seems like all the biggest issues now that our country faces are social issues about who is to be accepted and who is not to be accepted and what behavior will be tolerated, relating to racial issues, gender issues, religious issues, and more. The 1960’s and 70’s were a sort of pivoting from issues of class and with the fall of the Soviet Union in the early 90’s, social issues became everything by the end of the Clinton administration. IT seems like the cultural conflict remains unsettled today, though the left-wing made serious gains in LGBT rights and continues to push forward on legalization of Marijuana. However there is little progress on racial issues, which have seemed to remain at the status quo, though the fighting it worse, like trench warfare.
               America hit its stride economically in the 1980’s and 90’s with tons of optimism in the power of capitalism from the bounce back in the 80’s and the fall of Communism in the early 90’s. In 1999 (as the dot com bubble inflated), teenagers were asked how much money they expected to earn at 30 years old, with the median answer being $75,000, or three times the median salary at the time. It must have been a rude awakening for the economy to crash down on those teenagers not even ten years later. I bet that had a very big impact on their outlook on the world.
               The book then discusses the Clinton years, which appear similar to the Carter years in that Clinton conceded economic policy to conservatives in the Republican Party, but different in that Clinton was a more clever politician than Carter. Clinton was actually able to play the middle successfully where Carter failed but he was still punished brutally by the Republicans even though he was doing their bidding. He was basically a corrupt womanizer, but in politics what else is new? The Republican leaders like Gingrich were doing the same and Dennis Hastert was a child molester. Despite huge economic success, Republicans remained energized and unwilling to give an inch, winning the House in 1995 for the first time since 1955. Democrats remained willing to give up everything they had fought for over half a century for, approving personal income tax cuts as well as cuts to the capital gains tax, which almost exclusively benefits high earners. Clinton and other Democratic leaders continued to bleed the labor unions, once their strong allies and the backbone of the party, with NAFTA, proposed by Bush 41 and confirmed by Clinton, it helped corporate bosses move more jobs out of the United States. By 2001, only 13.5% of American workers (and 9% of those in the private sector) were members of unions. No major political party represented the economic interests of the working class, so they identified with the party that represented their social/cultural interests. Generally, this was the more conservative Republican Party.
               Despite what looked like big success, Americans in general did not feel more successful, even if the stock market was quadrupling in value in just a decade. This was because the real buying power of wages, despite a 90 cent increase in the minimum wage in 1996, continued to decline. Since the 1970’s, the decline in standard of living for White, working class men was especially bad, as wages declined while people of color and women entered the workforce and unions declined, creating intense competition in the labor market. It was ironic then that a lot of standard-of-living items got better. By 2001, any American that wanted color TV had it, the vast majority had microwaves, washing machines, cable TV, and AC, and the majority had personal computers and cars or trucks. These items became cheap enough for most Americans to buy, though almost all wage/income increases went to those who were already the richest. In 2001, the United States produced 22 percent of the world’s output, while Great Britain produced only 8% of world output at the height of its empire in 1913.
               This book was a very good read though it took me a little bit to get through the first chapter. It’s well-written and helped bring me up to speed on why our country was the way it was going up to 9/11, which was when as a child I started to develop consciousness of history/politics going on around me. To really complete my reading from the late 60’s onward I need something on the Bush and Obama administrations now. But for now I’m reading the Chernow biography of George Washington and I feel kind of complete on recent American history for the time being. Anyway, this book was great and very approachable. 8/10 would recommend.

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